Bishop Chatard
Boys - Girls
2007 - 2008 - 2009
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State Rank #11
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #7
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #5
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 7.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 48.7%
Advance to State Finals 56.6%
Advance to Semi-State 94.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
20  Mary Davis 9 19:00
33  Carly Sobolewski 12 19:13
104  Christine Kirby 11 19:59
Emily Boyce 12 20:19
Christen Salyer 12 20:42
Annie Dietrick 9 20:45
Nikki Kirschner 11 20:48
Angela Nebesny 12 21:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 56.6% 8.2 253 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.4 5.2 7.0 9.5 10.7 9.2 4.4 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 94.2% 5.9 164 2.1 5.5 10.2 16.6 22.2 21.6 13.3 2.6 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.1 119 7.7 20.9 32.1 33.5 5.4 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.6 49 43.6 49.5 6.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Davis 85.8% 19.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.3 2.0 1.6 2.3 2.2 2.5 3.0 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 3.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.8 67.2% 82.1%
Carly Sobolewski 68.2% 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.5 26.7% 50.1%
Christine Kirby 56.6% 70.9 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.1%
Emily Boyce 56.6% 96.6 0.0% 0.0%
Christen Salyer 56.6% 124.0 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Dietrick 56.6% 128.7 0.0% 0.0%
Nikki Kirschner 56.6% 131.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Davis 99.0% 9.9 0.8 1.9 2.8 3.8 4.4 5.6 6.9 7.6 7.8 8.6 8.0 6.8 6.3 6.0 4.9 4.1 3.1 2.5 1.6 1.4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 83.4% 96.8%
Carly Sobolewski 96.8% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.8 4.1 4.9 6.0 6.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.4 5.8 5.5 4.5 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.6 1.9 1.7 44.3% 83.0%
Christine Kirby 94.2% 41.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.3 0.0% 2.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Davis 100% 7.3 2.0 3.8 4.3 6.0 8.5 11.0 11.4 11.3 9.6 8.5 6.9 5.3 3.5 2.9 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Carly Sobolewski 100% 10.8 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.4 4.3 6.0 7.4 9.2 9.3 10.1 9.1 8.6 7.4 6.3 5.1 3.8 2.4 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Christine Kirby 100% 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.5 3.9 4.8 4.7 5.3 5.5 5.6 96.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Davis 2.5 8.0 27.2 32.4 23.6 8.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carly Sobolewski 3.9 1.1 5.9 16.1 31.6 39.5 4.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Christine Kirby 8.3 0.1 1.0 17.6 14.1 13.2 11.8 10.2 8.7 6.7 5.4 4.4 3.1 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0